Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2382.537236 2574.821659 2767.831788 2975.786934 3193.199256 3413.486146 3653.252154
2026-01-11 2066.321265 2354.375419 2652.622629 2983.292514 3338.476387 3707.421773 4118.521187
2026-01-18 1856.799489 2204.598743 2573.352419 2990.961886 3448.351004 3931.819032 4479.235385
2026-01-25 1695.446288 2086.569031 2509.795814 2997.691817 3540.653146 4122.660577 4790.032359
2026-02-01 1542.759584 1964.225811 2429.052872 2973.679039 3588.495543 4255.698115 5029.195875
2026-02-08 1427.386458 1874.972979 2377.222679 2974.268871 3656.742141 4405.277029 5281.198743
2026-02-15 1313.242705 1779.309313 2311.247039 2952.448690 3694.128465 4515.717085 5485.445402
2026-02-22 1252.168638 1741.937245 2308.983062 3000.436919 3808.022659 4709.818121 5781.572370
2026-03-01 1178.743427 1685.076921 2279.937112 3013.777660 3879.148650 4853.112711 6018.429000
2026-03-08 1092.187738 1607.345797 2221.984192 2989.417678 3903.361947 4940.242471 6189.228352
2026-03-15 1003.174201 1521.905860 2150.773921 2945.668817 3901.732440 4995.041133 6320.773551
2026-03-22 995.751961 1539.359141 2204.879804 3052.379023 4077.775232 5255.910991 6690.111287
2026-03-29 955.924534 1514.183981 2206.291026 3095.984517 4180.475758 5433.853096 6967.073494
2026-04-05 902.282440 1468.484877 2180.249069 3104.638116 4240.492810 5561.497917 7185.789873
2026-04-12 852.284224 1425.065311 2155.021134 3112.529365 4298.186382 5685.389051 7399.417517
2026-04-19 805.426521 1383.524130 2130.296216 3119.429061 4353.394532 5805.412722 7607.871581
2026-04-26 748.717167 1325.604752 2082.096554 3094.813097 4368.414891 5876.317149 7757.432257
2026-05-03 705.895294 1285.024050 2054.906337 3095.417768 4413.354038 5982.210843 7947.851612
2026-05-10 657.025005 1233.372927 2011.093448 3073.047888 4428.427949 6051.118712 8093.479309
2026-05-17 637.843517 1223.894660 2023.102575 3122.243033 4532.488684 6227.513460 8367.554775
2026-05-24 606.980453 1195.639452 2008.527343 3135.917993 4591.299883 6348.546006 8575.097536
2026-05-31 564.498231 1147.832353 1965.546792 3110.947307 4600.216892 6407.902651 8707.857129
2026-06-07 518.035797 1091.487208 1908.804819 3066.096901 4582.496821 6433.537927 8799.030414